Browsing by Author "Michael A. Cork"

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Author Correction: Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017 (Nature Medicine, (2020), 26, 5, (750-759), 10.1038/s41591-020-0807-6)
(Nature Research, 2020) Damaris K. Kinyoki; Jennifer M. Ross; Alice Lazzar-Atwood; Sandra B. Munro; Lauren E. Schaeffer; Mahdieh Abbasalizad-Farhangi; Masoumeh Abbasi; Hedayat Abbastabar; Ahmed Abdelalim; Amir Abdoli; Mohammad Abdollahi; Ibrahim Abdollahpour; Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader; Nebiyu Dereje Abebe; Teshome Abuka Abebo; Kedir Hussein Abegaz; Hassan Abolhassani; Lucas Guimarães Abreu; Michael R. M. Abrigo; Abdelrahman I. Abushouk; Manfred Mario Kokou Accrombessi; Dilaram Acharya; Maryam Adabi; Akindele Olupelumi Adebiyi; Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji; Victor Adekanmbi; Abiodun Moshood Adeoye; Olatunji O. Adetokunboh; Davoud Adham; Posi Emmanuel Aduroja; Shailesh M. Advani; Mohsen Afarideh; Mohammad Aghaali; Anurag Agrawal; Tauseef Ahmad; Keivan Ahmadi; Sepideh Ahmadi; Muktar Beshir Ahmed; Rushdia Ahmed; Olufemi Ajumobi; Chalachew Genet Akal; Temesgen Yihunie Akalu; Tomi Akinyemiju; Blessing Akombi; Ziyad Al-Aly; Samiah Alam; Genet Melak Alamene; Turki M. Alanzi; Jacqueline Elizabeth Alcalde Rabanal; Niguse Meles Alema; Beriwan Abdulqadir Ali; Muhammad Ali; Mehran Alijanzadeh; Cyrus Alinia; Vahid Alipour; Hesam Alizade; Syed Mohamed Aljunid; Afshin Almasi; Amir Almasi-Hashiani; Hesham M. Al-Mekhlafi; Rajaa M. Al-Raddadi; Khalid Altirkawi; Nelson Alvis-Guzman; Nelson J. Alvis-Zakzuk; Azmeraw T. Amare; Adeladza Kofi Amegah; Saeed Amini; Mostafa Amini Rarani; Fatemeh Amiri; Arianna Maever Loreche Amit; Nahla Hamed Anber; Catalina Liliana Andrei; Fereshteh Ansari; Alireza Ansari-Moghaddam; Zelalem Alamrew Anteneh; Carl Abelardo T. Antonio; Ernoiz Antriyandarti; Davood Anvari; Razique Anwer; Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah; Jalal Arabloo; Morteza Arab-Zozani; Ephrem Mebrahtu Araya; Zohreh Arefi; Olatunde Aremu; Johan Ärnlöv; Afsaneh Arzani; Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi; Ali A. Asadi-Pooya; Samaneh Asgari; Babak Asghari; Alebachew Fasil Ashagre; Anemaw A. Asrat; Bahar Ataeinia; Hagos Tasew Atalay; Desta Debalkie Atnafu; Maha Moh’d Wahbi Atout; Marcel Ausloos; Euripide F. G. A. Avokpaho; Ashish Awasthi; Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla; Martin Amogre Ayanore; Yared A. Asmare Aynalem; Abbas Azadmehr; Samad Azari; Ghasem Azarian; Zelalem Nigussie Azene; Ebrahim Babaee; Alaa Badawi; Ashish D. Badiye; Mohamad Amin Bahrami; Atif Amin A. Baig; Ahad Bakhtiari; Shankar M. Bakkannavar; Senthilkumar Balakrishnan; Ayele Geleto Bali; Maciej Banach; Palash Chandra Banik; Zahra Baradaran-Seyed; Adhanom Gebreegziabher Baraki; Miguel A. Barboza; Till Winfried Bärnighausen; Lingkan Barua; Huda Basaleem; Sanjay Basu; Mohsen Bayati; Mulat Tirfie Bayih; Habtamu Wondifraw Baynes; Neeraj Bedi; Masoud Behzadifar; Meysam Behzadifar; Yibeltal Alemu Bekele; Derrick A. Bennett; Dessalegn Ajema Berbada; Kidanemaryam Berhe; Abadi Kidanemariam Berhe; Adam E. Berman; Robert S. Bernstein; Reshmi Bhageerathy; Dinesh Bhandari; Pankaj Bharadwaj; Natalia V. Bhattacharjee; Krittika Bhattacharyya; Ali Bijani; Boris Bikbov; Ver Bilano; Nigus Bililign; Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed; Setognal Birara; Minuye Biniam Biniam Birhane; Minyichil Birhanu; Raaj Kishore Biswas; Zebenay Workneh Bitew; Kassawmar Angaw Bogale; Somayeh Bohlouli; Srinivasa Rao Bolla; Archith Boloor; Antonio M. Borzì; Shiva Borzouei; Oliver J. Brady; Nicola Luigi Bragazzi; Dejana Braithwaite; Nikolay Ivanovich Briko; Gabrielle Britton; Shyam S. Budhathoki; Sharath Burugina Nagaraja; Reinhard Busse; Zahid A. Butt; Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado; Luis Alberto Cámera; Ismael R. Campos-Nonato; Jorge Cano; Josip Car; Rosario Cárdenas; Juan J. Carrero; Félix Carvalho; João Mauricio Castaldelli-Maia; Carlos A. Castañeda-Orjuela; Franz Castro; Ester Cerin; Collins Chansa; Jaykaran Charan; Pranab Chatterjee; Vijay Kumar Chattu; Bal Govind Chauhan; Ali Reza Chavshin; Mohammad Chehrazi; Tesfaye Yitna Chichiabellu; Ken Lee Chin; Devasahayam J. Christopher; Dinh-Toi Chu; Flavia M. Cicuttini; Michael L. Collison; Michael A. Cork; Natalie Cormier; Paolo Angelo Cortesi; Vera M. Costa; Abel Fekadu Fekadu Dadi; Baye Dagnew; Saad M. A. Dahlawi; Giovanni Damiani; Amira Hamed Darwish; Ahmad Daryani; Jai K. Das; Rajat Das Gupta; Claudio Dávila-Cervantes; Nicole Davis Weaver; Diego De Leo; Jan-Walter De Neve; Feleke Mekonnen Demeke; Asmamaw Bizuneh Demis; Dereje Bayissa Demissie; Gebre Teklemariam Demoz; Edgar Denova-Gutiérrez; Kebede Deribe; Rupak Desai; Beruk Berhanu Desalegn; Assefa Desalew; Aniruddha Deshpande; Sagnik Dey; Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne; Preeti Dhillon; Meghnath Dhimal; Govinda Prasad Dhungana; Mostafa Dianati Nasab; Daniel Diaz; Zahra Sadat Dibaji Forooshani; Girmaye Deye Dinsa; Isaac Oluwafemi Dipeolu; Shirin Djalalinia; Hoa Thi Do; Huyen Phuc Do; Paul Narh Doku; Fariba Dorostkar; Leila Doshmangir; Manisha Dubey; Bereket Duko Adema; Susanna J. Dunachie; Bruce B. Duncan; Ewerton Cousin; Andre R. Durães; Lucas Earl; Hamed Ebrahimzadeh Leylabadlo; Aziz Eftekhari; Iman El Sayed; Maysaa El Sayed Zaki; Maha El Tantawi; Iffat Elbarazi; Demelash Abewa Elemineh; Shaimaa I. El-Jaafary; Ziad El-Khatib; Aisha Elsharkawy; Yasser Mohamed El-Sherbiny; Iqbal R. F. Elyazar; Mohammad Hassan Emamian; Shymaa Enany; Daniel Adane Endalew; Melese Linger Endalifer; Khalil Eskandari; Sharareh Eskandarieh; Saman Esmaeilnejad; Alireza Esteghamati; Arash Etemadi; Atkilt Esaiyas Etisso; Jessica Fanzo; Mohammad Farahmand; Anwar Faraj; Sajjad Farashi; Mohammad Fareed; Andrea Farioli; Andre Faro; Farshad Farzadfar; Hossein Farzam; Syeda Sadia Fatima; Nazir Fattahi; Nelsensius Klau Fauk; Ali Akbar Fazaeli; Netsanet Fentahun; Tomas Y. Ferede; Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad; Eduarda Fernandes; João C. Fernandes; Garumma Tolu Feyissa; Irina Filip; Florian Fischer; Carsten Flohr; Nataliya A. Foigt; Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan; Artem Alekseevich Fomenkov; Masoud Foroutan; Jana Förster; Joel Msafiri Francis; Takeshi Fukumoto; Reta Tsegaye Gayesa; Biniyam Sahiledengle Geberemariyam; Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot; Hadush Gebremariam; Kidane Tadesse Gebremariam; Ketema Bizuwork Bizuwork Gebremedhin; Gebreamlak Gebremedhn Gebremeskel; Assefa Ayalew Ayalew Gebreslassie; Gebretsadkan G. G. Gebretsadik; Getnet Azeze Gedefaw; Yilma Chisha Dea Geramo; Hailay Abrha Gesesew; Birhanu Geta; Agegnehu Bante Getenet; Kebede Embaye Gezae; Fatemeh Ghaffarifar; Mansour Ghafourifard; Alireza Ghajar; Mahsa Ghajarzadeh; Ahmad Ghashghaee; Hesam Ghiasvand; Asadollah Gholamian; Syed Amir Gilani; Tiffany K. Gill; Ibrahim Abdelmageed Ginawi; Srinivas Goli; Nelson G. M. Gomes; Sameer Vali Gopalani; Houman Goudarzi; Alessandra C. Goulart; Arunkumar Govindakarnavar; Ayman Grada; Michal Grivna; Rafael Alves Guimarães; Rashid Abdi Guled; Yuming Guo; Rahul Gupta; Rajeev Gupta; Nima Hafezi-Nejad; Michael Tamene Haile; Arvin Haj-Mirzaian; Arya Haj-Mirzaian; Brian J. Hall; Iman Halvaei; Randah R. Hamadeh; Yadollah Hamidi; Demelash Woldeyohannes Handiso; Graeme J. Hankey; Hamidreza Haririan; Ninuk Hariyani; Ahmed I. Hasaballah; Md. Mehedi Hasan; Milad Hasankhani; Edris Hasanpoor; Amir Hasanzadeh; Maryam Hashemian; Soheil Hassanipour; Hamid Yimam Hassen; Rasmus Havmoeller; Corinna Hawkes; Khezar Hayat; Desta Haftu Hayelom; Behnam Heidari; Reza Heidari-Soureshjani; Delia Hendrie; Andualem Henok; Nathaniel J. Henry; Mario Herrero; Claudiu Herteliu; Fatemeh Heydarpour; Hagos D. de Hidru; Chi Linh Hoang; Hans W. Hoek; Michael K. Hole; Ramesh Holla; Gillian Hollerich; Enayatollah Homaie Rad; Sung Hwi Hong; Praveen Hoogar; Masako Horino; Naznin Hossain; Mostafa Hosseini; Mehdi Hosseinzadeh; Mihaela Hostiuc; Sorin Hostiuc; Mowafa Househ; Mohamed Hsairi; Guoqing Hu; Tanvir M. Huda; Ayesha Humayun; Bing-Fang Hwang; Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye; Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi; Milena D. Ilic; Mohammad Hasan Imani-Nasab; Leeberk Raja Inbaraj; Usman Iqbal; Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani; Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam; Chidozie C. D. Iwu; Chinwe Juliana Iwu; Neda Izadi; Jalil Jaafari; Anelisa Jaca; Farhad Jadidi-Niaragh; Nader Jafari Balalami; Morteza Jafarinia; Mohammad Ali Jahani; Mihajlo Jakovljevic; Amir Jalali; Farzad Jalilian; Achala Upendra Jayatilleke; Panniyammakal Jeemon; Fyezah Jehan; Ensiyeh Jenabi; Ravi Prakash Jha; Vivekanand Jha; John S. Ji; Peng Jia; Oommen John; Yetunde O. John-Akinola; Kimberly B. Johnson; Jost B. Jonas; Nitin Joseph; Farahnaz Joukar; Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak; Suresh Banayya Jungari; Mikk Jürisson; Ali Kabir; Zubair Kabir; Amaha Kahsay; Molla Kahssay; Hamed Kalani; Leila L. Kalankesh; Rohollah Kalhor; Zahra Kamiab; Tanuj Kanchan; Umesh Kapil; Neeti Kapoor; Manoochehr Karami; Behzad Karami Matin; André Karch; Mohd A. Karim; Surendra Karki; Amir Kasaeian; Gebremicheal Gebreslassie Kasahun; Habtamu Kebebe Kasaye; Tesfaye Dessale Kassa; Hagazi Gebremedhin Kassaye; Nicholas J. Kassebaum; Ali Kazemi Karyani; Andre Pascal Kengne; Daniel Bekele Ketema; Yousef Saleh Khader; Morteza Abdullatif Khafaie; Mojtaba Khaksarian; Nauman Khalid; Ibrahim A. Khalil; Rovshan Khalilov; Asad Khan; Ejaz Ahmad Khan; Md Nuruzzaman Khan; Mohammad Saud Khan; Muhammad Shahzeb Khan; Khaled Khatab; Amir Khater; Mona M. Khater; Mahalqua Nazli Khatib; Maryam Khayamzadeh; Maryam Khazaei-Pool; Mohammad Khazaei; Salman Khazaei; Mohammad Taghi Khodayari; Mohammad Hossein Khosravi; Roba Khundkar; Ali Kiadaliri; Neda Kianipour; Daniel N. Kiirithio; Yun Jin Kim; Ruth W. Kimokoti; Adnan Kisa; Sezer Kisa; Tufa Kolola; Hamidreza Komaki; Shivakumar K. M. Kondlahalli; Ali Koolivand; Parvaiz A. Koul; Ai Koyanagi; Moritz U. G. Kraemer; Kewal Krishan; Kris J. Krohn; Nuworza Kugbey; Manasi Kumar; Pushpendra Kumar; Vivek Kumar; Om P. Kurmi; Oluwatosin Kuti; Carlo La Vecchia; Ben Lacey; Deepesh P. Lad; Aparna Lal; Dharmesh Kumar Lal; Faris Hasan Lami; Prabhat Lamichhane; Justin J. Lang; Van C. Lansingh; Savita Lasrado; Georgy Lebedev; Paul H. Lee; Shaun Wen Huey Lee; Mostafa Leili; Ian D. Letourneau; Sonia Lewycka; Shanshan Li; Lee-Ling Lim; Shai Linn; Shiwei Liu; Simin Liu; Rakesh Lodha; Joshua Longbottom; Jaifred Christian F. Lopez; Stefan Lorkowski; Erlyn Rachelle King Macarayan; Mohammed Madadin; Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek; Muhammed Magdy Abd El Razek; Dhaval P. Maghavani; Phetole Walter Mahasha; Narayan Bahadur Mahotra; Venkatesh Maled; Afshin Maleki; Shokofeh Maleki; Deborah Carvalho Malta; Ali Manafi; Farzad Manafi; Navid Manafi; Narendar Dawanu Manohar; Fariborz Mansour-Ghanaei; Borhan Mansouri; Mohammad Ali Mansournia; Chabila Christopher Mapoma; Dadi Marami; Laurie B. Marczak; Carlos Alberto Marrugo Arnedo; Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo; Anthony Masaka; Benjamin Ballard Massenburg; Pallab K. Maulik; Benjamin K. Mayala; Mohsen Mazidi; Man Mohan Mehndiratta; Freshteh Mehri; Kala M. Mehta; Wahengbam Bigyananda Meitei; Fantahun Ayenew Mekonnen; Teferi Mekonnen; Gebrekiros Gebremichael Meles; Hagazi Gebre Meles; Addisu Melese; Walter Mendoza; Ritesh G. Menezes; Meresa Berwo Mengesha; George A. Mensah; Tuomo J. Meretoja; Tomasz Miazgowski; Neda Milevska Kostova; Ted R. Miller; Edward J. Mills; G.K. Mini; Seyed Mostafa Mir; Mohammad Miri; Hamed Mirjalali; Erkin M. Mirrakhimov; Hamed Mirzaei; Maryam Mirzaei; Roya Mirzaei; Mehdi Mirzaei-Alavijeh; Prasanna Mithra; Babak Moazen; Efat Mohamadi; Amjad Mohamadi-Bolbanabad; Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad; Yousef Mohammad; Dara K. Mohammad; Aso Mohammad Darwesh; Naser Mohammad Gholi Mezerji; Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani; Mousa Mohammadnia-Afrouzi; Milad Mohammadoo-Khorasani; Reza Mohammadpourhodki; Salahuddin Mohammed; Shafiu Mohammed; Jemal Abdu Mohammed; Ammas Siraj Mohammed; Farnam Mohebi; Amin Mokari; Ali H. Mokdad; Julio Cesar Montañez; Pablo A. Montero-Zamora; Yoshan Moodley; Maryam Moossavi; Ghobad Moradi; Masoud Moradi; Yousef Moradi; Mohammad Moradi-Joo; Maziar Moradi-Lakeh; Farhad Moradpour; Rahmatollah Moradzadeh; Paula Moraga; Shane Douglas Morrison; Abbas Mosapour; Jonathan F. Mosser; Simin Mouodi; Amin Mousavi Khaneghah; Dariush Mozaffarian; Ulrich Otto Mueller; Christopher J. L. Murray; G.V.S. Murthy; Kamarul Imran Musa; Ghulam Mustafa; Saravanan Muthupandian; Behnam Nabavizadeh; Mehdi Naderi; Girish N. Nadkarni; Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan; Mohsen Naghavi; Aliya Naheed; Gurudatta Naik; Farid Najafi; Jobert Richie Nansseu; K. M. Venkat Narayan; Bruno Ramos Nascimento; Vinod Nayak; Javad Nazari; Duduzile Edith Ndwandwe; Ionut Negoi; Ruxandra Irina Negoi; Josephine W. Ngunjiri; Cuong Tat Nguyen; Huong Lan Thi Nguyen; Dabere Nigatu; Yeshambel T. Nigatu; Rajan Nikbakhsh; Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum; Chukwudi A. Nnaji; Vuong Minh Nong; Jean Jacques Noubiap; Christoph Nowak; Bogdan Oancea; Richard Ofori-Asenso; Onome Bright Oghenetega; In-Hwan Oh; Olanrewaju Oladimeji; Morteza Oladnabi; Andrew T. Olagunju; Tinuke O. Olagunju; Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya; Jacob Olusegun Olusanya; Mojisola Morenike Oluwasanu; Muktar Omer Omer; Obinna E. Onwujekwe; Kwaku Oppong Asante; Eyal Oren; Orish Ebere Orisakwe; Alberto Ortiz; Osayomwanbo Osarenotor; Aaron E. Osgood-Zimmerman; Mayowa Ojo Owolabi; Mahesh P. A; Jagadish Rao Padubidri; Keyvan Pakshir; Adrian Pana; Songhomitra Panda-Jonas; Hadi Parsian; Tahereh Pashaei; Deepak Kumar Pasupula; Sangram Kishor Patel; Ashish Pathak; Mona Pathak; Sanghamitra Pati; Ajay Patle; George C. Patton; Kebreab Paulos; Hamidreza Pazoki Toroudi; Veincent Christian Filipino Pepito; Norberto Perico; William A. Petri; Brandon V. Pickering; David M. Pigott; Majid Pirestani; Bakhtiar Piroozi; Meghdad Pirsaheb; Khem Narayan Pokhrel; Maarten J. Postma; Hadi Pourjafar; Farshad Pourmalek; Reza Pourmirza Kalhori; Akram Pourshams; Hossein Poustchi; Sergio I. Prada; Liliana Preotescu; Dimas Ria Angga Pribadi; Zahiruddin Quazi Syed; Mohammad Rabiee; Navid Rabiee; Amir Radfar; Alireza Rafiei; Fakher Rahim; Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar; Muhammad Aziz Rahman; Sajjad ur Rahman; Rajesh Kumar Rai; Ali Rajabpour-Sanati; Fatemeh Rajati; Kiana Ramezanzadeh; Saleem Muhammad Rana; Chhabi Lal Ranabhat; Sowmya J. Rao; Davide Rasella; Vahid Rashedi; Prateek Rastogi; Priya Rathi; Salman Rawaf; David Laith Rawaf; Lal Rawal; Sarah E. Ray; Giuseppe Remuzzi; Vishnu Renjith; Andre M. N. Renzaho; Serge Resnikoff; Nima Rezaei; Shahab Rezaeian; Mohammad Sadegh Rezai; Aziz Rezapour; Seyed Mohammad Riahi; Ana Isabel Ribeiro; Jennifer Rickard; Alina Rodriguez; Leonardo Roever; Elias Merdassa Roro; Gholamreza Roshandel; Ali Rostami; Enrico Rubagotti; Anas M. Saad; Seyedmohammad Saadatagah; Yogesh Damodar Sabde; Siamak Sabour; Ehsan Sadeghi; Masoumeh Sadeghi; Saeed Safari; Yahya Safari; Hamid Safarpour; Rajesh Sagar; Amirhossein Sahebkar; Mohammad Ali Sahraian; S. Mohammad Sajadi; Mohammad Reza Salahshoor; Nasir Salam; Farkhonde Salehi; Saleh Salehi Zahabi; Hosni Salem; Marwa R. Rashad Salem; Yahya Salimi; Hamideh Salimzadeh; Hossein Samadi Kafil; Evanson Zondani Sambala; Abdallah M. Samy; Itamar S. Santos; Bruno Piassi Sao Jose; Sivan Yegnanarayana Iyer Saraswathy; Abdur Razzaque Sarker; Benn Sartorius; Arash Sarveazad; Brijesh Sathian; Maheswar Satpathy; Sonia Saxena; Mehdi Sayyah; Alyssa N. Sbarra; Megan F. Schipp; Maria Inês Schmidt; Aletta Elisabeth Schutte; David C. Schwebel; Anbissa Muleta Senbeta; Subramanian Senthilkumaran; Seyedmojtaba Seyedmousavi; Faramarz Shaahmadi; Omid Shafaat; Saeed Shahabi; Masood Ali Shaikh; Ali S. Shalash; Mehran Shams-Beyranvand; Amir Shamshirian; Morteza Shamsizadeh; Mohammed Shannawaz; Kiomars Sharafi; Mehdi Sharif; Rajesh Sharma; Hatem Samir Shehata; Abbas Sheikhtaheri; Kenji Shibuya; Wondimeneh Shibabaw Shiferaw; Mika Shigematsu; Jae Il Shin; Rahman Shiri; Reza Shirkoohi; Ivy Shiue; Kerem Shuval; Soraya Siabani; Tariq J. Siddiqi; Inga Dora Sigfusdottir; Diego Augusto Santos Silva; Biagio Simonetti; Ambrish Singh; Pushpendra Singh; Virendra Singh; Jasvinder A. Singh; Pankaj Kumar Singh; Dhirendra Narain Sinha; Yitagesu Sintayehu; Malede Mequanent M. Sisay; Amin Soheili; Bija Soleymani; Farzaneh Soltani; Shahin Soltani; Joan B. Soriano; Muluken Bekele Sorrie; Sergey Soshnikov; Ireneous N. Soyiri; Adel Spotin; Chandrashekhar T. Sreeramareddy; Rajni Kant Kant Srivastava; Antonina Starodubova; Agus Sudaryanto; Mu’awiyyah Babale Sufiyan; Hafiz Ansar Rasul Suleria; Gerhard Sulo; Bruno F. Sunguya; Bryan L. Sykes; Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos; Takahiro Tabuchi; Birkneh Tilahun Tadesse; Amir Taherkhani; Koku Sisay Tamirat; Segen Gebremeskel Tassew; Nuno Taveira; Berhane Fseha Teklehaimanot; Gebretsadkan Hintsa Tekulu; Mohamad-Hani Temsah; Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi; Zemenu Tadesse Tessema; Nihal Thomas; Mariya Vladimirovna Titova; Kenean Getaneh Tlaye; Hamid Reza Tohidinik; Marcello Tonelli; Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone; Eugenio Traini; Khanh Bao Tran; Manjari Tripathi; Riaz Uddin; Irfan Ullah; Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan; Era Upadhyay; Ushotanefe Useh; Muhammad Shariq Usman; Olalekan A. Uthman; Marco Vacante; Masoud Vaezghasemi; Pascual R. Valdez; John VanderHeide; Elena Varavikova; Santosh Varughese; Tommi Juhani Vasankari; Yasser Vasseghian; Yousef Veisani; Srinivasaraghavan Venkatesh; Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian; Madhur Verma; Simone Vidale; Francesco S. Violante; Vasily Vlassov; Sebastian Vollmer; Rade Vukovic; Yasir Waheed; Haidong Wang; Yafeng Wang; Yuan-Pang Wang; Girmay Teklay Weldesamuel; Andrea Werdecker; Taweewat Wiangkham; Kirsten E. Wiens; Tissa Wijeratne; Haileab Fekadu Wolde; Dawit Zewdu Wondafrash; Tewodros Eshete Wonde; Adam Belay Wondmieneh; Ai-Min Wu; Gelin Xu; Abbas Yadegar; Ali Yadollahpour; Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh Jabbari; Tomohide Yamada; Yuichiro Yano; Sanni Yaya; Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi; Alex Yeshaneh; Yigizie Yeshaw; Yordanos Gizachew Yeshitila; Mekdes Tigistu Yilma; Paul Yip; Naohiro Yonemoto; Seok-Jun Yoon; Yoosik Youm; Mustafa Z. Younis; Zabihollah Yousefi; Hebat-Allah Salah A. Yousof; Chuanhua Yu; Hasan Yusefzadeh; Telma Zahirian Moghadam; Leila Zaki; Sojib Bin Zaman; Mohammad Zamani; Maryam Zamanian; Hamed Zandian; Hadi Zarafshan; Nejimu Biza Zepro; Taddese Alemu Zerfu; Taye Abuhay Zewale; Yunquan Zhang; Zhi-Jiang Zhang; Xiu-Ju Zhao; Sanjay Zodpey; Kamiar Zomorodian; Francis Bruno Zotor; Ashkan Afshin; Simon I. Hay
An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper. © 2020, The Author(s).
Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2018
(BioMed Central Ltd, 2022) Emily Haeuser; Audrey L. Serfes; Michael A. Cork; Mingyou Yang; Hedayat Abbastabar; E.S. Abhilash; Maryam Adabi; Oladimeji M. Adebayo; Victor Adekanmbi; Daniel Adedayo Adeyinka; Saira Afzal; Bright Opoku Ahinkorah; Keivan Ahmadi; Muktar Beshir Ahmed; Yonas Akalu; Rufus Olusola Akinyemi; Chisom Joyqueenet Akunna; Fares Alahdab; Fahad Mashhour Alanezi; Turki M. Alanzi; Kefyalew Addis Alene; Robert Kaba Alhassan; Vahid Alipour; Amir Almasi-Hashiani; Nelson Alvis-Guzman; Edward Kwabena Ameyaw; Saeed Amini; Dickson A. Amugsi; Robert Ancuceanu; Davood Anvari; Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah; Jalal Arabloo; Olatunde Aremu; Mulusew A. Asemahagn; Mohammad Asghari Jafarabadi; Atalel Fentahun Awedew; Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla; Martin Amogre Ayanore; Yared Asmare Aynalem; Samad Azari; Zelalem Nigussie Azene; B.B. Darshan; Tesleem Kayode Babalola; Atif Amin Baig; Maciej Banach; Till Winfried Bärnighausen; Arielle Wilder Bell; Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula; Nikha Bhardwaj; Pankaj Bhardwaj; Krittika Bhattacharyya; Ali Bijani; Zebenay Workneh Bitew; Somayeh Bohlouli; Obasanjo Afolabi Bolarinwa; Archith Boloor; Ivana Bozicevic; Zahid A. Butt; Rosario Cárdenas; Felix Carvalho; Jaykaran Charan; Vijay Kumar Chattu; Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir Chowdhury; Dinh-Toi Chu; Richard G. Cowden; Saad M. A. Dahlawi; Giovanni Damiani; Eugene Kofuor Maafo Darteh; Aso Mohammad Darwesh; José das Neves; Nicole Davis Weaver; Diego De Leo; Jan-Walter De Neve; Kebede Deribe; Keshab Deuba; Samath Dharmaratne; Mostafa Dianatinasab; Daniel Diaz; Alireza Didarloo; Shirin Djalalinia; Fariba Dorostkar; Eleonora Dubljanin; Bereket Duko; Maha El Tantawi; Shaimaa I. El-Jaafary; Babak Eshrati; Sharareh Eskandarieh; Oghenowede Eyawo; Ifeanyi Jude Ezeonwumelu; Sayeh Ezzikouri; Farshad Farzadfar; Nazir Fattahi; Nelsensius Klau Fauk; Eduarda Fernandes; Irina Filip; Florian Fischer; Nataliya A. Foigt; Masoud Foroutan; Takeshi Fukumoto; Mohamed M. Gad; Abhay Motiramji Gaidhane; Birhan Gebresillassie Gebregiorgis; Ketema Bizuwork Gebremedhin; Lemma Getacher; Keyghobad Ghadiri; Ahmad Ghashghaee; Mahaveer Golechha; Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari; Harish Chander Gugnani; Rafael Alves Guimarães; Mohammad Rifat Haider; Arvin Haj-Mirzaian; Samer Hamidi; Abdiwahab Hashi; Soheil Hassanipour; Hadi Hassankhani; Khezar Hayat; Claudiu Herteliu; Hung Chak Ho; Ramesh Holla; Mostafa Hosseini; Mehdi Hosseinzadeh; Bing-Fang Hwang; Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye; Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi; Irena M. Ilic; Milena D. Ilic; Rakibul M. Islam; Chidozie C. D. Iwu; Mihajlo Jakovljevic; Ravi Prakash Jha; John S. Ji; Kimberly B. Johnson; Nitin Joseph; Vasna Joshua; Farahnaz Joukar; Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak; Leila R. Kalankesh; Rohollah Kalhor; Naser Kamyari; Tanuj Kanchan; Behzad Karami Matin; Salah Eddin Karimi; Gbenga A. Kayode; Ali Kazemi Karyani; Maryam Keramati; Ejaz Ahmad Khan; Gulfaraz Khan; Md Nuruzzaman Khan; Khaled Khatab; Jagdish Khubchandani; Yun Jin Kim; Adnan Kisa; Sezer Kisa; Jacek A. Kopec; Soewarta Kosen; Sindhura Lakshmi Koulmane Laxminarayana; Ai Koyanagi; Kewal Krishan; Barthelemy Kuate Defo; Nuworza Kugbey; Vaman Kulkarni; Manasi Kumar; Nithin Kumar; Dian Kusuma; Carlo La Vecchia; Dharmesh Kumar Lal; Iván Landires; Heidi Jane Larson; Savita Lasrado; Paul H. Lee; Shanshan Li; Xuefeng Liu; Afshin Maleki; Preeti Malik; Mohammad Ali Mansournia; Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo; Walter Mendoza; Ritesh G. Menezes; Endalkachew Worku Mengesha; Tuomo J. Meretoja; Tomislav Mestrovic; Andreea Mirica; Babak Moazen; Osama Mohamad; Yousef Mohammad; Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani; Reza Mohammadpourhodki; Salahuddin Mohammed; Shafiu Mohammed; Ali H. Mokdad; Masoud Moradi; Paula Moraga; Sumaira Mubarik; Getaneh Baye B. Mulu; Lillian Mwanri; Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan; Mukhammad David Naimzada; Muhammad Naveed; Javad Nazari; Rawlance Ndejjo; Ionut Negoi; Frida N. Ngalesoni; Georges Nguefack-Tsague; Josephine W. Ngunjiri; Cuong Tat Nguyen; Huong Lan Thi Nguyen; Chukwudi A. Nnaji; Jean Jacques Noubiap; Virginia Nuñez-Samudio; Vincent Ebuka Nwatah; Bogdan Oancea; Oluwakemi Ololade Odukoya; Andrew T. Olagunju; Babayemi Oluwaseun Olakunde; Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya; Jacob Olusegun Olusanya; Ahmed Omar Bali; Obinna E. Onwujekwe; Orish Ebere Orisakwe; Nikita Otstavnov; Stanislav S. Otstavnov; Mayowa O. Owolabi; P.A. Mahesh; Jagadish Rao Padubidri; Adrian Pana; Ashok Pandey; Seithikurippu R. Pandi-Perumal; Fatemeh Pashazadeh Kan; George C. Patton; Shrikant Pawar; Emmanuel K. Peprah; Maarten J. Postma; Liliana Preotescu; Zahiruddin Quazi Syed; Navid Rabiee; Amir Radfar; Alireza Rafiei; Fakher Rahim; Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar; Amir Masoud Rahmani; Kiana Ramezanzadeh; Juwel Rana; Chhabi Lal Ranabhat; Sowmya J. Rao; David Laith Rawaf; Salman Rawaf; Reza Rawassizadeh; Lemma Demissie Regassa; Nima Rezaei; Aziz Rezapour; Mavra A. Riaz; Ana Isabel Ribeiro; Jennifer M. Ross; Enrico Rubagotti; Susan Fred Rumisha; Godfrey M. Rwegerera; Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam; Rajesh Sagar; Biniyam Sahiledengle; Maitreyi Sahu; Marwa Rashad Salem; Hossein Samadi Kafil; Abdallah M. Samy; Benn Sartorius; Brijesh Sathian; Abdul-Aziz Seidu; Amira A. Shaheen; Masood Ali Shaikh; Morteza Shamsizadeh; Wondimeneh Shibabaw Shiferaw; Jae Il Shin; Roman Shrestha; Jasvinder A. Singh; Valentin Yurievich Skryabin; Anna Aleksandrovna Skryabina; Shahin Soltani; Mu’awiyyah Babale Sufiyan; Takahiro Tabuchi; Eyayou Girma Tadesse; Nuno Taveira; Fisaha Haile Tesfay; Rekha Thapar; Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone; Gebiyaw Wudie Tsegaye; Chukwuma David Umeokonkwo; Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan; Jorge Hugo Villafañe; Francesco S. Violante; Bay Vo; Giang Thu Vu; Yohannes Dibaba Wado; Yasir Waheed; Richard G. Wamai; Yanzhong Wang; Paul Ward; Nuwan Darshana Wickramasinghe; Katherine Wilson; Sanni Yaya; Paul Yip; Naohiro Yonemoto; Chuanhua Yu; Mikhail Sergeevich Zastrozhin; Yunquan Zhang; Zhi-Jiang Zhang; Simon I. Hay; Laura Dwyer-Lindgren
Background: Human immunodeficiency virus and acquired immune deficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) is still among the leading causes of disease burden and mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), and the world is not on track to meet targets set for ending the epidemic by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Precise HIV burden information is critical for effective geographic and epidemiological targeting of prevention and treatment interventions. Age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence estimates are widely available at the national level, and region-wide local estimates were recently published for adults overall. We add further dimensionality to previous analyses by estimating HIV prevalence at local scales, stratified into sex-specific 5-year age groups for adults ages 15–59 years across SSA. Methods: We analyzed data from 91 seroprevalence surveys and sentinel surveillance among antenatal care clinic (ANC) attendees using model-based geostatistical methods to produce estimates of HIV prevalence across 43 countries in SSA, from years 2000 to 2018, at a 5 × 5-km resolution and presented among second administrative level (typically districts or counties) units. Results: We found substantial variation in HIV prevalence across localities, ages, and sexes that have been masked in earlier analyses. Within-country variation in prevalence in 2018 was a median 3.5 times greater across ages and sexes, compared to for all adults combined. We note large within-district prevalence differences between age groups: for men, 50% of districts displayed at least a 14-fold difference between age groups with the highest and lowest prevalence, and at least a 9-fold difference for women. Prevalence trends also varied over time; between 2000 and 2018, 70% of all districts saw a reduction in prevalence greater than five percentage points in at least one sex and age group. Meanwhile, over 30% of all districts saw at least a five percentage point prevalence increase in one or more sex and age group. Conclusions: As the HIV epidemic persists and evolves in SSA, geographic and demographic shifts in prevention and treatment efforts are necessary. These estimates offer epidemiologically informative detail to better guide more targeted interventions, vital for combating HIV in SSA. © 2022, The Author(s).
Mapping child growth failure across low- and middle-income countries
(Nature Research, 2020) Damaris K. Kinyoki; Aaron E. Osgood-Zimmerman; Brandon V. Pickering; Lauren E. Schaeffer; Laurie B. Marczak; Alice Lazzar-Atwood; Michael L. Collison; Nathaniel J. Henry; Zegeye Abebe; Abdu A. Adamu; Victor Adekanmbi; Keivan Ahmadi; Olufemi Ajumobi; Ayman Al-Eyadhy; Rajaa M. Al-Raddadi; Fares Alahdab; Mehran Alijanzadeh; Vahid Alipour; Khalid Altirkawi; Saeed Amini; Catalina Liliana Andrei; Carl Abelardo T. Antonio; Jalal Arabloo; Olatunde Aremu; Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi; Suleman Atique; Marcel Ausloos; Marco Avila; Ashish Awasthi; Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla; Samad Azari; Alaa Badawi; Till Winfried Bärnighausen; Quique Bassat; Kaleab Baye; Neeraj Bedi; Bayu Begashaw Bekele; Michelle L. Bell; Natalia V. Bhattacharjee; Krittika Bhattacharyya; Suraj Bhattarai; Zulfiqar A. Bhutta; Belete Biadgo; Boris Bikbov; Andrey Nikolaevich Briko; Gabrielle Britton; Roy Burstein; Zahid A. Butt; Josip Car; Carlos A. Castañeda-Orjuela; Franz Castro; Ester Cerin; Michael G. Chipeta; Dinh-Toi Chu; Michael A. Cork; Elizabeth A. Cromwell; Lucía Cuevas-Nasu; Lalit Dandona; Rakhi Dandona; Farah Daoud; Rajat Das Gupta; Nicole Davis Weaver; Diego De Leo; Jan-Walter De Neve; Kebede Deribe; Beruk Berhanu Desalegn; Aniruddha Deshpande; Melaku Desta; Daniel Diaz; Mesfin Tadese Dinberu; David Teye Doku; Manisha Dubey; Andre R. Durães; Laura Dwyer-Lindgren; Lucas Earl; Andem Effiong; Maysaa El Sayed Zaki; Maha El Tantawi; Ziad El-Khatib; Babak Eshrati; Mohammad Fareed; Andre Faro; Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad; Irina Filip; Florian Fischer; Nataliya A. Foigt; Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan; Takeshi Fukumoto; Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot; Kebede Embaye Gezae; Alireza Ghajar; Paramjit Singh Gill; Philimon N. Gona; Sameer Vali Gopalani; Ayman Grada; Yuming Guo; Arvin Haj-Mirzaian; Arya Haj-Mirzaian; Jason B. Hall; Samer Hamidi; Andualem Henok; Bernardo Hernández Prado; Mario Herrero; Claudiu Herteliu; Chi Linh Hoang; Michael K. Hole; Naznin Hossain; Mehdi Hosseinzadeh; Guoqing Hu; Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam; Mihajlo Jakovljevic; Ravi Prakash Jha; Jost B. Jonas; Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak; Amaha Kahsay; Tanuj Kanchan; Manoochehr Karami; Amir Kasaeian; Yousef Saleh Khader; Ejaz Ahmad Khan; Mona M. Khater; Yun Jin Kim; Ruth W. Kimokoti; Adnan Kisa; Sonali Kochhar; Soewarta Kosen; Ai Koyanagi; Kewal Krishan; Barthelemy Kuate Defo; G. Anil Kumar; Manasi Kumar; Sheetal D. Lad; Faris Hasan Lami; Paul H. Lee; Aubrey J. Levine; Shanshan Li; Shai Linn; Rakesh Lodha; Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek; Muhammed Magdy Abd El Razek; Marek Majdan; Azeem Majeed; Reza Malekzadeh; Deborah Carvalho Malta; Abdullah A. Mamun; Mohammad Ali Mansournia; Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo; Anthony Masaka; Benjamin Ballard Massenburg; Benjamin K. Mayala; Fabiola Mejia-Rodriguez; Mulugeta Melku; Walter Mendoza; George A. Mensah; Tomasz Miazgowski; Ted R. Miller; G.K. Mini; Erkin M. Mirrakhimov; Babak Moazen; Aso Mohammad Darwesh; Shafiu Mohammed; Farnam Mohebi; Ali H. Mokdad; Yoshan Moodley; Ghobad Moradi; Maziar Moradi-Lakeh; Paula Moraga; Shane Douglas Morrison; Jonathan F. Mosser; Seyyed Meysam Mousavi; Ulrich Otto Mueller; Christopher J. L. Murray; Ghulam Mustafa; Mehdi Naderi; Mohsen Naghavi; Farid Najafi; Vinay Nangia; Duduzile Edith Ndwandwe; Ionut Negoi; Josephine W. Ngunjiri; Huong Lan Thi Nguyen; Long Hoang Nguyen; Son Hoang Nguyen; Jing Nie; Chukwudi A. Nnaji; Jean Jacques Noubiap; Malihe Nourollahpour Shiadeh; Peter S. Nyasulu; Felix Akpojene Ogbo; Andrew T. Olagunju; Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya; Jacob Olusegun Olusanya; Eduardo Ortiz-Panozo; Stanislav S. Otstavnov; Mahesh P. A; Adrian Pana; Anamika Pandey; Sanghamitra Pati; Snehal T. Patil; George C. Patton; Norberto Perico; David M. Pigott; Meghdad Pirsaheb; Ellen G. Piwoz; Maarten J. Postma; Akram Pourshams; Swayam Prakash; Hedley Quintana; Amir Radfar; Alireza Rafiei; Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar; Rajesh Kumar Rai; Fatemeh Rajati; David Laith Rawaf; Salman Rawaf; Rahul Rawat; Giuseppe Remuzzi; Andre M. N. Renzaho; Carlos Rios-González; Leonardo Roever; Jennifer M. Ross; Ali Rostami; Nafis Sadat; Yahya Safari; Mahdi Safdarian; Amirhossein Sahebkar; Nasir Salam; Payman Salamati; Yahya Salimi; Hamideh Salimzadeh; Abdallah M. Samy; Benn Sartorius; Brijesh Sathian; Megan F. Schipp; David C. Schwebel; Anbissa Muleta Senbeta; Sadaf G. Sepanlou; Masood Ali Shaikh; Teresa Shamah Levy; Mohammadbagher Shamsi; Kiomars Sharafi; Rajesh Sharma; Aziz Sheikh; Apurba Shil; Diego Augusto Santos Silva; Jasvinder A. Singh; Dhirendra Narain Sinha; Moslem Soofi; Agus Sudaryanto; Muawiyyah Babale Sufiyan; Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos; Birkneh Tilahun Tadesse; Mohamad-Hani Temsah; Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi; Zemenu Tadesse Tessema; Andrew L. Thorne-Lyman; Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone; Bach Xuan Tran; Khanh Bao Tran; Irfan Ullah; Olalekan A. Uthman; Masoud Vaezghasemi; Afsane Vaezi; Pascual R. Valdez; John Vanderheide; Yousef Veisani; Francesco S. Violante; Vasily Vlassov; Giang Thu Vu; Linh Gia Vu; Yasir Waheed; Judd L. Walson; Yafeng Wang; Yuan-Pang Wang; Elizabeth N. Wangia; Andrea Werdecker; Gelin Xu; Tomohide Yamada; Engida Yisma; Naohiro Yonemoto; Mustafa Z. Younis; Mahmoud Yousefifard; Chuanhua Yu; Sojib Bin Zaman; Mohammad Zamani; Yunquan Zhang; Nicholas J. Kassebaum; Simon I. Hay
Childhood malnutrition is associated with high morbidity and mortality globally1. Undernourished children are more likely to experience cognitive, physical, and metabolic developmental impairments that can lead to later cardiovascular disease, reduced intellectual ability and school attainment, and reduced economic productivity in adulthood2. Child growth failure (CGF), expressed as stunting, wasting, and underweight in children under five years of age (0–59 months), is a specific subset of undernutrition characterized by insufficient height or weight against age-specific growth reference standards3–5. The prevalence of stunting, wasting, or underweight in children under five is the proportion of children with a height-for-age, weight-for-height, or weight-for-age z-score, respectively, that is more than two standard deviations below the World Health Organization’s median growth reference standards for a healthy population6. Subnational estimates of CGF report substantial heterogeneity within countries, but are available primarily at the first administrative level (for example, states or provinces)7; the uneven geographical distribution of CGF has motivated further calls for assessments that can match the local scale of many public health programmes8. Building from our previous work mapping CGF in Africa9, here we provide the first, to our knowledge, mapped high-spatial-resolution estimates of CGF indicators from 2000 to 2017 across 105 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where 99% of affected children live1, aggregated to policy-relevant first and second (for example, districts or counties) administrative-level units and national levels. Despite remarkable declines over the study period, many LMICs remain far from the ambitious World Health Organization Global Nutrition Targets to reduce stunting by 40% and wasting to less than 5% by 2025. Large disparities in prevalence and progress exist across and within countries; our maps identify high-prevalence areas even within nations otherwise succeeding in reducing overall CGF prevalence. By highlighting where the highest-need populations reside, these geospatial estimates can support policy-makers in planning interventions that are adapted locally and in efficiently directing resources towards reducing CGF and its health implications. © 2020, The Author(s).
Mapping disparities in education across low- and middle-income countries
(Nature Research, 2020) Nicholas Graetz; Lauren Woyczynski; Katherine F. Wilson; Jason B. Hall; Kalkidan Hassen Abate; Foad Abd-Allah; Oladimeji M. Adebayo; Victor Adekanmbi; Mahdi Afshari; Olufemi Ajumobi; Tomi Akinyemiju; Fares Alahdab; Ziyad Al-Aly; Jacqueline Elizabeth Alcalde Rabanal; Mehran Alijanzadeh; Vahid Alipour; Khalid Altirkawi; Mohammadreza Amiresmaili; Nahla Hamed Anber; Catalina Liliana Andrei; Mina Anjomshoa; Carl Abelardo T. Antonio; Jalal Arabloo; Olatunde Aremu; Krishna K. Aryal; Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi; Suleman Atique; Marcel Ausloos; Ashish Awasthi; Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla; Samad Azari; Alaa Badawi; Joseph Adel Mattar Banoub; Suzanne Lyn Barker-Collo; Anthony Barnett; Neeraj Bedi; Derrick A. Bennett; Natalia V. Bhattacharjee; Krittika Bhattacharyya; Suraj Bhattarai; Zulfiqar A. Bhutta; Ali Bijani; Boris Bikbov; Gabrielle Britton; Roy Burstein; Zahid A. Butt; Rosario Cárdenas; Félix Carvalho; Carlos A. Castañeda-Orjuela; Franz Castro; Ester Cerin; Jung-Chen Chang; Michael L. Collison; Cyrus Cooper; Michael A. Cork; Farah Daoud; Rajat Das Gupta; Nicole Davis Weaver; Jan-Walter De Neve; Kebede Deribe; Beruk Berhanu Desalegn; Aniruddha Deshpande; Melaku Desta; Meghnath Dhimal; Daniel Diaz; Mesfin Tadese Dinberu; Shirin Djalalinia; Manisha Dubey; Eleonora Dubljanin; Andre R. Durães; Laura Dwyer-Lindgren; Lucas Earl; Mohammad Ebrahimi Kalan; Ziad El-Khatib; Babak Eshrati; Mahbobeh Faramarzi; Mohammad Fareed; Andre Faro; Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad; Eduarda Fernandes; Irina Filip; Florian Fischer; Takeshi Fukumoto; Jose A. García; Paramjit Singh Gill; Tiffany K. Gill; Philimon N. Gona; Sameer Vali Gopalani; Ayman Grada; Yuming Guo; Rajeev Gupta; Vipin Gupta; Arvin Haj-Mirzaian; Arya Haj-Mirzaian; Randah R. Hamadeh; Samer Hamidi; Mehedi Hasan; Hamid Yimam Hassen; Delia Hendrie; Andualem Henok; Nathaniel J. Henry; Bernardo Hernández Prado; Claudiu Herteliu; Michael K. Hole; Naznin Hossain; Mehdi Hosseinzadeh; Guoqing Hu; Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi; Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani; Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam; Neda Izadi; Mihajlo Jakovljevic; Ravi Prakash Jha; John S. Ji; Jost B. Jonas; Zahra Jorjoran Shushtari; Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak; Tanuj Kanchan; Amir Kasaeian; Ali Kazemi Karyani; Peter Njenga Keiyoro; Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran; Yousef Saleh Khader; Morteza Abdullatif Khafaie; Ejaz Ahmad Khan; Mona M. Khater; Aliasghar A. Kiadaliri; Daniel N. Kiirithio; Yun Jin Kim; Ruth W. Kimokoti; Damaris K. Kinyoki; Adnan Kisa; Soewarta Kosen; Ai Koyanagi; Kewal Krishan; Barthelemy Kuate Defo; Manasi Kumar; Pushpendra Kumar; Faris Hasan Lami; Paul H. Lee; Aubrey J. Levine; Shanshan Li; Yu Liao; Lee-Ling Lim; Stefan Listl; Jaifred Christian F. Lopez; Marek Majdan; Reza Majdzadeh; Azeem Majeed; Reza Malekzadeh; Mohammad Ali Mansournia; Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo; Anthony Masaka; Benjamin Ballard Massenburg; Benjamin K. Mayala; Kala M. Mehta; Walter Mendoza; George A. Mensah; Tuomo J. Meretoja; Tomislav Mestrovic; Ted R. Miller; G.K. Mini; Erkin M. Mirrakhimov; Babak Moazen; Dara K. Mohammad; Aso Mohammad Darwesh; Shafiu Mohammed; Farnam Mohebi; Ali H. Mokdad; Lorenzo Monasta; Yoshan Moodley; Mahmood Moosazadeh; Ghobad Moradi; Maziar Moradi-Lakeh; Paula Moraga; Lidia Morawska; Shane Douglas Morrison; Jonathan F. Mosser; Seyyed Meysam Mousavi; Christopher J. L. Murray; Ghulam Mustafa; Azin Nahvijou; Farid Najafi; Vinay Nangia; Duduzile Edith Ndwandwe; Ionut Negoi; Ruxandra Irina Negoi; Josephine W. Ngunjiri; Cuong Tat Nguyen; Long Hoang Nguyen; Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum; Jean Jacques Noubiap; Malihe Nourollahpour Shiadeh; Peter S. Nyasulu; Felix Akpojene Ogbo; Andrew T. Olagunju; Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya; Jacob Olusegun Olusanya; Obinna E. Onwujekwe; Doris D. V. Ortega-Altamirano; Eduardo Ortiz-Panozo; Simon Øverland; P.A. Mahesh; Adrian Pana; Songhomitra Panda-Jonas; Sanghamitra Pati; George C. Patton; Norberto Perico; David M. Pigott; Meghdad Pirsaheb; Maarten J. Postma; Akram Pourshams; Swayam Prakash; Parul Puri; Mostafa Qorbani; Amir Radfar; Fakher Rahim; Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar; Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman; Fatemeh Rajati; Chhabi Lal Ranabhat; David Laith Rawaf; Salman Rawaf; Robert C. Reiner; Giuseppe Remuzzi; Andre M. N. Renzaho; Satar Rezaei; Aziz Rezapour; Carlos Rios-González; Leonardo Roever; Luca Ronfani; Gholamreza Roshandel; Ali Rostami; Enrico Rubagotti; Nafis Sadat; Ehsan Sadeghi; Yahya Safari; Rajesh Sagar; Nasir Salam; Payman Salamati; Yahya Salimi; Hamideh Salimzadeh; Abdallah M. Samy; Juan Sanabria; Milena M. Santric Milicevic; Benn Sartorius; Brijesh Sathian; Arundhati R. Sawant; Lauren E. Schaeffer; Megan F. Schipp; David C. Schwebel; Anbissa Muleta Senbeta; Sadaf G. Sepanlou; Masood Ali Shaikh; Mehran Shams-Beyranvand; Morteza Shamsizadeh; Kiomars Sharafi; Rajesh Sharma; Jun She; Aziz Sheikh; Mika Shigematsu; Soraya Siabani; Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira; Jasvinder A. Singh; Dhirendra Narain Sinha; Vegard Skirbekk; Amber Sligar; Badr Hasan Sobaih; Moslem Soofi; Joan B. Soriano; Ireneous N. Soyiri; Chandrashekhar T. Sreeramareddy; Agus Sudaryanto; Muawiyyah Babale Sufiyan; Ipsita Sutradhar; Pn Sylaja; Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos; Birkneh Tilahun Tadesse; Mohamad-Hani Temsah; Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi; Belay Tessema; Zemenu Tadesse Tessema; Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan; Roman Topor-Madry; Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone; Bach Xuan Tran; Lorainne Tudor Car; Irfan Ullah; Olalekan A. Uthman; Pascual R. Valdez; Yousef Veisani; Francesco S. Violante; Vasily Vlassov; Sebastian Vollmer; Giang Thu Vu; Yasir Waheed; Yuan-Pang Wang; John C. Wilkinson; Andrea Sylvia Winkler; Charles D. A. Wolfe; Tomohide Yamada; Alex Yeshaneh; Paul Yip; Engida Yisma; Naohiro Yonemoto; Mustafa Z. Younis; Mahmoud Yousefifard; Chuanhua Yu; Sojib Bin Zaman; Jianrong Zhang; Yunquan Zhang; Sanjay Zodpey; Emmanuela Gakidou; Simon I. Hay
Educational attainment is an important social determinant of maternal, newborn, and child health1–3. As a tool for promoting gender equity, it has gained increasing traction in popular media, international aid strategies, and global agenda-setting4–6. The global health agenda is increasingly focused on evidence of precision public health, which illustrates the subnational distribution of disease and illness7,8; however, an agenda focused on future equity must integrate comparable evidence on the distribution of social determinants of health9–11. Here we expand on the available precision SDG evidence by estimating the subnational distribution of educational attainment, including the proportions of individuals who have completed key levels of schooling, across all low- and middle-income countries from 2000 to 2017. Previous analyses have focused on geographical disparities in average attainment across Africa or for specific countries, but—to our knowledge—no analysis has examined the subnational proportions of individuals who completed specific levels of education across all low- and middle-income countries12–14. By geolocating subnational data for more than 184 million person-years across 528 data sources, we precisely identify inequalities across geography as well as within populations. © 2019, The Author(s).
Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017
(Nature Research, 2020) Damaris K. Kinyoki; Jennifer M. Ross; Alice Lazzar-Atwood; Sandra B. Munro; Lauren E. Schaeffer; Mahdieh Abbasalizad-Farhangi; Masoumeh Abbasi; Hedayat Abbastabar; Ahmed Abdelalim; Amir Abdoli; Mohammad Abdollahi; Ibrahim Abdollahpour; Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader; Nebiyu Dereje Abebe; Teshome Abuka Abebo; Kedir Hussein Abegaz; Hassan Abolhassani; Lucas Guimarães Abreu; Michael R. M. Abrigo; Abdelrahman I. Abushouk; Manfred Mario Kokou Accrombessi; Dilaram Acharya; Maryam Adabi; Akindele Olupelumi Adebiyi; Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji; Victor Adekanmbi; Abiodun Moshood Adeoye; Olatunji O. Adetokunboh; Davoud Adham; Posi Emmanuel Aduroja; Shailesh M. Advani; Mohsen Afarideh; Mohammad Aghaali; Anurag Agrawal; Tauseef Ahmad; Keivan Ahmadi; Sepideh Ahmadi; Muktar Beshir Ahmed; Rushdia Ahmed; Olufemi Ajumobi; Chalachew Genet Akal; Temesgen Yihunie Akalu; Tomi Akinyemiju; Blessing Akombi; Ziyad Al-Aly; Samiah Alam; Genet Melak Alamene; Turki M. Alanzi; Jacqueline Elizabeth Alcalde Rabanal; Niguse Meles Alema; Beriwan Abdulqadir Ali; Muhammad Ali; Mehran Alijanzadeh; Cyrus Alinia; Vahid Alipour; Hesam Alizade; Syed Mohamed Aljunid; Afshin Almasi; Amir Almasi-Hashiani; Hesham M. Al-Mekhlafi; Rajaa M. Al-Raddadi; Khalid Altirkawi; Nelson Alvis-Guzman; Nelson J. Alvis-Zakzuk; Azmeraw T. Amare; Adeladza Kofi Amegah; Saeed Amini; Mostafa Amini Rarani; Fatemeh Amiri; Arianna Maever Loreche Amit; Nahla Hamed Anber; Catalina Liliana Andrei; Fereshteh Ansari; Alireza Ansari-Moghaddam; Zelalem Alamrew Anteneh; Carl Abelardo T. Antonio; Ernoiz Antriyandarti; Davood Anvari; Razique Anwer; Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah; Jalal Arabloo; Morteza Arab-Zozani; Ephrem Mebrahtu Araya; Zohreh Arefi; Olatunde Aremu; Johan Ärnlöv; Afsaneh Arzani; Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi; Ali A. Asadi-Pooya; Samaneh Asgari; Babak Asghari; Alebachew Fasil Ashagre; Anemaw A. 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Yousof; Chuanhua Yu; Hasan Yusefzadeh; Telma Zahirian Moghadam; Leila Zaki; Sojib Bin Zaman; Mohammad Zamani; Maryam Zamanian; Hamed Zandian; Hadi Zarafshan; Nejimu Biza Zepro; Taddese Alemu Zerfu; Taye Abuhay Zewale; Yunquan Zhang; Zhi-Jiang Zhang; Xiu-Ju Zhao; Sanjay Zodpey; Kamiar Zomorodian; Francis Bruno Zotor; Ashkan Afshin; Simon I. Hay
A double burden of malnutrition occurs when individuals, household members or communities experience both undernutrition and overweight. Here, we show geospatial estimates of overweight and wasting prevalence among children under 5 years of age in 105 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) from 2000 to 2017 and aggregate these to policy-relevant administrative units. Wasting decreased overall across LMICs between 2000 and 2017, from 8.4% (62.3 (55.1–70.8) million) to 6.4% (58.3 (47.6–70.7) million), but is predicted to remain above the World Health Organization’s Global Nutrition Target of <5% in over half of LMICs by 2025. Prevalence of overweight increased from 5.2% (30 (22.8–38.5) million) in 2000 to 6.0% (55.5 (44.8–67.9) million) children aged under 5 years in 2017. Areas most affected by double burden of malnutrition were located in Indonesia, Thailand, southeastern China, Botswana, Cameroon and central Nigeria. Our estimates provide a new perspective to researchers, policy makers and public health agencies in their efforts to address this global childhood syndemic. © 2020, The Author(s).
Mapping subnational HIV mortality in six Latin American countries with incomplete vital registration systems
(BioMed Central Ltd, 2021) Michael A. Cork; Nathaniel J. Henry; Stefanie Watson; Andrew J. Croneberger; Mathew Baumann; Ian D. Letourneau; Mingyou Yang; Audrey L. Serfes; Jaffar Abbas; Nooshin Abbasi; Hedayat Abbastabar; Lucas G. Abreu; Eman Abu-Gharbieh; Basavaprabhu Achappa; Maryam Adabi; Tadele G. Adal; Adeyinka E. Adegbosin; Victor Adekanmbi; Olatunji O. Adetokunboh; Marcela Agudelo-Botero; Bright O. Ahinkorah; Keivan Ahmadi; Muktar B. Ahmed; Robert K. Alhassan; Vahid Alipour; Amir Almasi-Hashiani; Nelson Alvis-Guzman; Robert Ancuceanu; Tudorel Andrei; Davood Anvari; Muhammad Aqeel; Jalal Arabloo; Olatunde Aremu; Malke Asaad; Desta D. Atnafu; Alok Atreya; Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla; Samad Azari; Darshan B. B; Atif A. Baig; Maciej Banach; Simachew A. Bante; Miguel A. Barboza; Sanjay Basu; Neeraj Bedi; Diana F Bejarano Ramirez; Isabela M. Bensenor; Fenta-Hun Y. Beyene; Yihienew M. Bezabih; Akshaya S. Bhagavathula; Nikha Bhardwaj; Pankaj Bhardwaj; Krittika Bhattacharyya; Zulfiqar A. Bhutta; Ali Bijani; Sait M. Birlik; Zebenay W. Bitew; Somayeh Bohlouli; Archith Boloor; Andre R. Brunoni; Zahid A. Butt; Rosario Cárdenas; Felix Carvalho; Joao Mauricio Castaldelli-Maia; Carlos A. Casta-ñeda-orjuela; Jaykaran Charan; Souranshu Chatterjee; Vijay Kumar Chattu; Soosanna Kumary Chattu; Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir Chowdhury; Devasahayam J. Christopher; Dinh-Toi Chu; Aubrey J. Cook; Natalie M. Cormier; Saad M A. Dahlawi; Farah Daoud; Claudio A. Dávila-Cervantes; Nicole Davis Weaver; Fernando P. De la Hoz; Feleke M. Demeke; Edgar Denova-Gutiérrez; Kebede Deribe; Keshab Deuba; Samath D. Dharmaratne; Govinda P. Dhungana; Daniel Diaz; Shirin Djalalinia; Andre R. Duraes; Arielle W. Eagan; Lucas Earl; Andem Effiong; Maysaa El Sayed Zaki; Maha El Tantawi; Rajesh Elayedath; Shaimaa I. El-Jaafary; Emerito Jose A. Faraon; Andre Faro; Nazir Fattahi; Nelsensius K. Fauk; Eduarda Fernandes; Irina Filip; Florian Fischer; Nataliya A. Foigt; Masoud Foroutan; Takeshi Fukumoto; Mohamed M. Gad; Tesfay B B. Gebremariam; Ketema B. Gebremed-Hin; Gebreamlak G. Gebremeskel; Hailay A. Gesesew; Keyghobad Ghadiri; Ahmad Ghashghaee; Syed Amir Gilani; Mahaveer Golechha; Ugo Gori; Alessandra C. Goulart; Bárbara N G. Goulart; Harish C. Gugnani; Mark D C. Guimaraes; Rafael A. Guimarães; Yum-Ing Guo; Rahul Gupta; Emily Haeuser; Mohammad Rifat Haider; Teklehaimanot G. Haile; Arvin Haj-Mirzaian; Arya Haj-Mirzaian; Asif Hanif; Arief Hargono; Ninuk Hariyani; Soheil Hassanipour; Hadi Hassankhani; Khezar Hayat; Claudiu Herteliu; Hung Chak Ho; Ramesh Holla; Mehdi Hosseinzadeh; Mowafa Househ; Bing-Fang Hwang; Charles U. Ibeneme; Segun E. Ibitoye; Olayinka S. Ile-Sanmi; Milena D. Ilic; Irena M. Ilic; Usman Iqbal; Deepa Jahagir-Dar; Vardhmaan Jain; Mihajlo Jakovljevic; Ravi P. Jha; Kimberly B. Johnson; Nitin Joseph; Farahnaz Joukar; Leila R. Kalankesh; Rohol-Lah Kalhor; Tanuj Kanchan; Behzad Karami Matin; André Karch; Salah Eddin Karimi; Getinet Kassahun; Gbenga A. Kayode; Ali Kazemi Karyani; Maryam Keramati; Nauman Khalid; Ejaz A. Khan; Gulfaraz Khan; Md Nuruzzaman N. Khan; Khaled Khatab; Neda Kianipour; Yun Jin Kim; Sezer Kisa; Adnan Kisa; Soewarta Kosen; Sindhura Lakshmi Koulmane Laxminarayana; Ai Koyanagi; Kewal Krishan; Barthelemy Kuate Defo; Ricardo S. Kuchenbecker; Vaman Kulkarni; Nithin Kumar; Manasi Kumar; Om P. Kurmi; Dian Kusuma; Carlo La Vecchia; Dharmesh K. Lal; Iván Landires; Savita Lasrado; Paul H. Lee; Kate E. Legrand; Bingyu Li; Shanshan Li; Xuefeng Liu; Hawraz I M. Amin; Daiane B. Machado; Deepak Madi; Carlos Magis-Rodriguez; Deborah C. Malta; Mohammad Ali Mansournia; Md Dilshad Manzar; Carlos A Marrugo Arnedo; Francisco R. Martins-Melo; Seyedeh Zahra Masoumi; Benjamin K. Mayala; Carlo E. Medina-Solís; Ziad A. Memish; Walter Mendoza; Ritesh G. Menezes; Tomislav Mestrovic; Andreea Mirica; Babak Moazen; Yousef Mohammad; Naser Mohammad Gholi Mezerji; Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani; Reza Mohammadpourhodki; Shafiu Mohammed; Ali H. Mokdad; Mohammad Ali Moni; Masoud Moradi; Yousef Moradi; Rahmatollah Moradzadeh; Paula Moraga; Amin Mou-Savi Khaneghah; Ghulam Mustafa; Lillian Mwanri; Ravishankar Nagaraja; Ahamarshan J. Nagarajan; Mukhammad David Naim-Zada; Bruno R. Nascimento; Dr M. Naveed; Vinod C. Nayak; Javad Nazari; Hadush Negash; Ionut Negoi; Samata Nepal; Georges Nguefack-Tsague; Cuong T. Nguyen; Huong L T. Nguyen; Rajan Nikbakhsh; Jean Jacques Noubiap; Virginia Nunez-Samudio; Bogdan Oancea; Felix A. Ogbo; Andrew T. Olagunju; Nikita Otstav-Nov; Mahesh P. A; Jagadish Rao Padubidri; Seithikurippu R. Pandi-Perumal; Ana M. Pardo-Montaño; Urvish K. Patel; Shrikant Pawar; Emmanuel K. Peprah; Alexandre Pereira; Samantha Perkins; Julia M. Pescarini; Khem N. Pokhrel; Maarten J. Postma; Faheem H. Pot-Too; Sergio I. Prada; Liliana Preotescu; Dimas R A. Pribadi; Amir Radfar; Fakher Rahim; Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman; Amir Masoud Rahmani; Kiana Ramezanzadeh; Juwel Rana; Chhabi L. Ranabhat; Sowmya J. Rao; Priya Rathi; Salman Rawaf; David L. Rawaf; Reza Rawassizadeh; Vishnu Renjith; Nima Rezaei; Aziz Rezapour; Ana Isabel Ribeiro; Leonardo Roever; Enrico Rubagotti; Susan F. Rumisha; Godfrey M. Rwegerera; Rajesh Sagar; S. Mohammad Sajadi; Marwa R. Salem; Abdallah M. Samy; Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez; Brijesh Sathian; Lauren E. Schaeffer; Ione J C. Schneider; Abdul-Aziz Seidu; Feng Sha; Masood A. Shaikh; Kio-Mars Sharafi; Aziz Sheikh; Kenji Shibuya; Jae Il Shin; Diego A S. Silva; Jasvinder A. Singh; Valentin Y. Skryabin; Anna A. Skryabina; Amber Sligar; Amin Soheili; Krista M. Steuben; Mu’Awiyyah B. Sufiyan; Eyayou G. Tadesse; Ayenew K T. Tesema; Fisaha H. Tesfay; Rekha Thapar; Robert L. Thompson; Marcos R. Tovani-Palone; Bach X. Tran; Gebiyaw W. Tsegaye; Chukwuma D. Umeokonkwo; Bhaskaran Unnikrish-Nan; Yasser Vasseghian; Francesco S. Violante; Bay Vo; Giang T. Vu; Yasir Waheed; Yuan-Pang Wang; Yanzhong Wang; Paul Ward; Fissaha T. Welay; Ronny Westerman; Nuwan D. Wickramasinghe; Sanni Yaya; Paul Yip; Naohiro Yonemoto; Chuanhua Yu; Deniz Yuce; Hasan Yusefzadeh; Maryam Zamanian; Mikhail S. Zastroz-Hin; Zhi-Jiang Zhang; Yunquan Zhang; Arash Ziapour; Simon I. Hay; Laura Dwyer-Lindgren
Background: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remains a public health priority in Latin America. While the burden of HIV is historically concentrated in urban areas and high-risk groups, subnational estimates that cover multiple countries and years are missing. This paucity is partially due to incomplete vital registration (VR) systems and statistical challenges related to estimating mortality rates in areas with low numbers of HIV deaths. In this analysis, we address this gap and provide novel estimates of the HIV mortality rate and the number of HIV deaths by age group, sex, and municipality in Brazil, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Guatemala, and Mexico. Methods: We performed an ecological study using VR data ranging from 2000 to 2017, dependent on individual country data availability. We modeled HIV mortality using a Bayesian spatially explicit mixed-effects regression model that incorporates prior information on VR completeness. We calibrated our results to the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Results: All countries displayed over a 40-fold difference in HIV mortality between municipalities with the highest and lowest age-standardized HIV mortality rate in the last year of study for men, and over a 20-fold difference for women. Despite decreases in national HIV mortality in all countries—apart from Ecuador—across the period of study, we found broad variation in relative changes in HIV mortality at the municipality level and increasing relative inequality over time in all countries. In all six countries included in this analysis, 50% or more HIV deaths were concentrated in fewer than 10% of municipalities in the latest year of study. In addition, national age patterns reflected shifts in mortality to older age groups—the median age group among decedents ranged from 30 to 45 years of age at the municipality level in Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico in 2017. Conclusions: Our subnational estimates of HIV mortality revealed significant spatial variation and diverging local trends in HIV mortality over time and by age. This analysis provides a framework for incorporating data and uncertainty from incomplete VR systems and can help guide more geographically precise public health intervention to support HIV-related care and reduce HIV-related deaths. © 2021, The Author(s).
Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–18: a modelling study
(Elsevier Ltd, 2021) Benn Sartorius; John D. VanderHeide; Mingyou Yang; Erik A. Goosmann; Julia Hon; Emily Haeuser; Michael A. Cork; Samantha Perkins; Deepa Jahagirdar; Lauren E. Schaeffer; Audrey L. Serfes; Kate E. LeGrand; Hedayat Abbastabar; Zeleke Hailemariam Abebo; Akine Eshete Abosetugn; Eman Abu-Gharbieh; Manfred Mario Kokou Accrombessi; Oladimeji M. Adebayo; Adeyinka Emmanuel Adegbosin; Victor Adekanmbi; Olatunji O. Adetokunboh; Daniel Adedayo Adeyinka; Bright Opoku Ahinkorah; Keivan Ahmadi; Muktar Beshir Ahmed; Yonas Akalu; Oluwaseun Oladapo Akinyemi; Rufus Olusola Akinyemi; Addis Aklilu; Chisom Joyqueenet Akunna; Fares Alahdab; Ziyad Al-Aly; Noore Alam; Alehegn Aderaw Alamneh; Turki M. Alanzi; Biresaw Wassihun Alemu; Robert Kaba Alhassan; Tilahun Ali; Vahid Alipour; Saeed Amini; Robert Ancuceanu; Fereshteh Ansari; Zelalem Alamrew Anteneh; Davood Anvari; Razique Anwer; Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah; Jalal Arabloo; Mulusew A. Asemahagn; Mohammad Asghari Jafarabadi; Wondwossen Niguse Asmare; Desta Debalkie Atnafu; Maha Moh'd Wahbi Atout; Alok Atreya; Marcel Ausloos; Atalel Fentahun Awedew; Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla; Martin Amogre Ayanore; Yared Asmare Aynalem; Muluken Altaye Ayza; Samad Azari; Zelalem Nigussie Azene; Zaheer-Ud-Din Babar; Atif Amin Baig; Senthilkumar Balakrishnan; Maciej Banach; Till Winfried Bärnighausen; Sanjay Basu; Mohsen Bayati; Neeraj Bedi; Tariku Tesfaye Bekuma; Woldesellassie M. Mequanint Bezabhe; Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula; Pankaj Bhardwaj; Krittika Bhattacharyya; Zulfiqar A. Bhutta; Sadia Bibi; Boris Bikbov; Tsegaye Adane Birhan; Zebenay Workneh Bitew; Moses John Bockarie; Archith Boloor; Oliver J. Brady; Nicola Luigi Bragazzi; Andrey Nikolaevich Briko; Nikolay Ivanovich Briko; Sharath Burugina Nagaraja; Zahid A. Butt; Rosario Cárdenas; Felix Carvalho; Jaykaran Charan; Souranshu Chatterjee; Soosanna Kumary Chattu; Vijay Kumar Chattu; Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir Chowdhury; Dinh-Toi Chu; Aubrey J. Cook; Natalie Maria Cormier; Richard G. Cowden; Carlos Culquichicon; Baye Dagnew; Saad M.A. Dahlawi; Giovanni Damiani; Parnaz Daneshpajouhnejad; Farah Daoud; Ahmad Daryani; José das Neves; Nicole Davis Weaver; Meseret Derbew Molla; Kebede Deribe; Abebaw Alemayehu Desta; Keshab Deuba; Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne; Govinda Prasad Dhungana; Daniel Diaz; Shirin Djalalinia; Paul Narh Doku; Eleonora Dubljanin; Bereket Duko; Arielle Wilder Eagan; Lucas Earl; Jeffrey W. Eaton; Andem Effiong; Maysaa El Sayed Zaki; Maha El Tantawi; Rajesh Elayedath; Shaimaa I. El-Jaafary; Aisha Elsharkawy; Sharareh Eskandarieh; Oghenowede Eyawo; Sayeh Ezzikouri; Abidemi Omolara Fasanmi; Alebachew Fasil; Nelsensius Klau Fauk; Valery L. Feigin; Tomas Y. Ferede; Eduarda Fernandes; Florian Fischer; Nataliya A. Foigt; Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan; Masoud Foroutan; Joel Msafiri Francis; Takeshi Fukumoto; Mohamed M. Gad; Biniyam Sahiledengle Geberemariyam; Birhan Gebresillassie Gebregiorgis; Berhe Gebremichael; Hailay Abrha Gesesew; Lemma Getacher; Keyghobad Ghadiri; Ahmad Ghashghaee; Syed Amir Gilani; Themba G. Ginindza; Mustefa Glagn; Mahaveer Golechha; Philimon N. Gona; Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari; Harish Chander Gugnani; Davide Guido; Rashid Abdi Guled; Brian J. Hall; Samer Hamidi; Demelash Woldeyohannes Handiso; Arief Hargono; Abdiwahab Hashi; Soheil Hassanipour; Hadi Hassankhani; Khezar Hayat; Claudiu Herteliu; Hagos Degefa de Hidru; Ramesh Holla; H. Dean Hosgood; Naznin Hossain; Mostafa Hosseini; Mehdi Hosseinzadeh; Mowafa Househ; Bing-Fang Hwang; Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye; Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi; Irena M. Ilic; Milena D. Ilic; Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani; Chidozie C.D. Iwu; Chinwe Juliana Iwu; Ihoghosa Osamuyi Iyamu; Vardhmaan Jain; Mihajlo Jakovljevic; Farzad Jalilian; Ravi Prakash Jha; Kimberly B. Johnson; Vasna Joshua; Farahnaz Joukar; Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak; Ali Kabir; Leila R. Kalankesh; Rohollah Kalhor; Ashwin Kamath; Naser Kamyari; Tanuj Kanchan; Behzad Karami Matin; André Karch; Salah Eddin Karimi; Ayele Semachew Kasa; Getinet Kassahun; Gbenga A. Kayode; Ali Kazemi Karyani; Peter Njenga Keiyoro; Bayew Kelkay; Nauman Khalid; Gulfaraz Khan; Junaid Khan; Md Nuruzzaman Khan; Khaled Khatab; Salman Khazaei; Yun Jin Kim; Adnan Kisa; Sezer Kisa; Sonali Kochhar; Jacek A. Kopec; Soewarta Kosen; Sindhura Koulmane Laxminarayana; Ai Koyanagi; Kewal Krishan; Barthelemy Kuate Defo; Nuworza Kugbey; Vaman Kulkarni; Manasi Kumar; Nithin Kumar; Om P. Kurmi; Dian Kusuma; Desmond Kuupiel; Hmwe Hmwe Kyu; Carlo La Vecchia; Dharmesh Kumar Lal; Jennifer O. Lam; Iván Landires; Savita Lasrado; Jeffrey V. Lazarus; Alice Lazzar-Atwood; Paul H. Lee; Cheru Tesema Leshargie; Bingyu Li; Xuefeng Liu; Platon D. Lopukhov; Hawraz Ibrahim M. Amin; Deepak Madi; Phetole Walter Mahasha; Azeem Majeed; Afshin Maleki; Shokofeh Maleki; Abdullah A. Mamun; Navid Manafi; Mohammad Ali Mansournia; Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo; Seyedeh Zahra Masoumi; Benjamin K. Mayala; Birhanu Geta Meharie; Hailemariam Abiy Alemu Meheretu; Hagazi Gebre Meles; Mulugeta Melku; Walter Mendoza; Endalkachew Worku Mengesha; Tuomo J. Meretoja; Abera M. Mersha; Tomislav Mestrovic; Ted R. Miller; Andreea Mirica; Mehdi Mirzaei-Alavijeh; Osama Mohamad; Yousef Mohammad; Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani; Jemal Abdu Mohammed; Salahuddin Mohammed; Shafiu Mohammed; Ali H. Mokdad; Taklu Marama Mokonnon; Mariam Molokhia; Masoud Moradi; Yousef Moradi; Rahmatollah Moradzadeh; Paula Moraga; Jonathan F. Mosser; Sandra B. Munro; Ghulam Mustafa; Saravanan Muthupandian; Mehdi Naderi; Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan; Mohsen Naghavi; Muhammad Naveed; Vinod C. Nayak; Javad Nazari; Rawlance Ndejjo; Samata Nepal; Henok Biresaw Netsere; Frida N. Ngalesoni; Georges Nguefack-Tsague; Josephine W. Ngunjiri; Yeshambel T. Nigatu; Samuel Negash Nigussie; Chukwudi A. Nnaji; Jean Jacques Noubiap; Virginia Nuñez-Samudio; Bogdan Oancea; Oluwakemi Ololade Odukoya; Felix Akpojene Ogbo; Olanrewaju Oladimeji; Andrew T. Olagunju; Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya; Jacob Olusegun Olusanya; Muktar Omer Omer; Abidemi E. Emmanuel Omonisi; Obinna E. Onwujekwe; Orish Ebere Orisakwe; Nikita Otstavnov; Mayowa O. Owolabi; P.A. Mahesh; Jagadish Rao Padubidri; Smita Pakhale; Adrian Pana; Seithikurippu R. Pandi-Perumal; Urvish K. Patel; Mona Pathak; George C. Patton; Shrikant Pawar; Emmanuel K. Peprah; Khem Narayan Pokhrel; Maarten J. Postma; Faheem Hyder Pottoo; Hadi Pourjafar; Dimas Ria Angga Pribadi; Zahiruddin Quazi Syed; Alireza Rafiei; Fakher Rahim; Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman; Amir Masoud Rahmani; Pradhum Ram; Juwel Rana; Chhabi Lal Ranabhat; Satish Rao; Sowmya J. Rao; Priya Rathi; David Laith Rawaf; Salman Rawaf; Reza Rawassizadeh; Vishnu Renjith; Melese Abate Reta; Nima Rezaei; Aziz Rezapour; Ana Isabel Ribeiro; Jennifer M. Ross; Susan Fred Rumisha; Rajesh Sagar; Maitreyi Sahu; S. Mohammad Sajadi; Marwa Rashad Salem; Abdallah M. Samy; Brijesh Sathian; Aletta Elisabeth Schutte; Abdul-Aziz Seidu; Feng Sha; Omid Shafaat; Mohammad Shahbaz; Masood Ali Shaikh; Mohammed Feyisso Shaka; Aziz Sheikh; Kenji Shibuya; Jae Il Shin; K.M. Shivakumar; Negussie Boti Sidemo; Jasvinder A. Singh; Valentin Yurievich Skryabin; Anna Aleksandrovna Skryabina; Amin Soheili; Shahin Soltani; Oluwaseyi Dolapo Somefun; Muluken Bekele Sorrie; Emma Elizabeth Spurlock; Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan; Biruk Wogayehu Taddele; Eyayou Girma Tadesse; Zemenu Tamir; Animut Tagele Tamiru; Frank C. Tanser; Nuno Taveira; Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi; Yohannes Tekalegn; Fisaha Haile Tesfay; Belay Tessema; Zemenu Tadesse Tessema; Bhaskar Thakur; Musliu Adetola Tolani; Roman Topor-Madry; Marco Torrado; Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone; Eugenio Traini; Alexander C. Tsai; Gebiyaw Wudie Tsegaye; Irfan Ullah; Saif Ullah; Chukwuma David Umeokonkwo; Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan; Constantine Vardavas; Francesco S. Violante; Bay Vo; Yohannes Dibaba Wado; Yasir Waheed; Richard G. Wamai; Yanzhong Wang; Paul Ward; Andrea Werdecker; Nuwan Darshana Wickramasinghe; Tissa Wijeratne; Charles Shey Wiysonge; Temesgen Gebeyehu Wondmeneh; Tomohide Yamada; Sanni Yaya; Yigizie Yeshaw; Yordanos Gizachew Yeshitila; Mekdes Tigistu Yilma; Paul Yip; Naohiro Yonemoto; Tewodros Yosef; Hasan Yusefzadeh; Syed Saoud Zaidi; Leila Zaki; Maryam Zamanian; Mikhail Sergeevich Zastrozhin; Anasthasia Zastrozhina; Dejene Tesfaye Zewdie; Yunquan Zhang; Zhi-Jiang Zhang; Arash Ziapour; Simon I. Hay; Laura Dwyer-Lindgren
Background: High-resolution estimates of HIV burden across space and time provide an important tool for tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts and assist with improving the precision and efficiency of targeting efforts. We aimed to assess HIV incidence and HIV mortality for all second-level administrative units across sub-Saharan Africa. Methods: In this modelling study, we developed a framework that used the geographically specific HIV prevalence data collected in seroprevalence surveys and antenatal care clinics to train a model that estimates HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years. We used a model-based geostatistical framework to estimate HIV prevalence at the second administrative level in 44 countries in sub-Saharan Africa for 2000–18 and sought data on the number of individuals on antiretroviral therapy (ART) by second-level administrative unit. We then modified the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) to use these HIV prevalence and treatment estimates to estimate HIV incidence and mortality by second-level administrative unit. Findings: The estimates suggest substantial variation in HIV incidence and mortality rates both between and within countries in sub-Saharan Africa, with 15 countries having a ten-times or greater difference in estimated HIV incidence between the second-level administrative units with the lowest and highest estimated incidence levels. Across all 44 countries in 2018, HIV incidence ranged from 2·8 (95% uncertainty interval 2·1–3·8) in Mauritania to 1585·9 (1369·4–1824·8) cases per 100 000 people in Lesotho and HIV mortality ranged from 0·8 (0·7–0·9) in Mauritania to 676·5 (513·6–888·0) deaths per 100 000 people in Lesotho. Variation in both incidence and mortality was substantially greater at the subnational level than at the national level and the highest estimated rates were accordingly higher. Among second-level administrative units, Guijá District, Gaza Province, Mozambique, had the highest estimated HIV incidence (4661·7 [2544·8–8120·3]) cases per 100 000 people in 2018 and Inhassunge District, Zambezia Province, Mozambique, had the highest estimated HIV mortality rate (1163·0 [679·0–1866·8]) deaths per 100 000 people. Further, the rate of reduction in HIV incidence and mortality from 2000 to 2018, as well as the ratio of new infections to the number of people living with HIV was highly variable. Although most second-level administrative units had declines in the number of new cases (3316 [81·1%] of 4087 units) and number of deaths (3325 [81·4%]), nearly all appeared well short of the targeted 75% reduction in new cases and deaths between 2010 and 2020. Interpretation: Our estimates suggest that most second-level administrative units in sub-Saharan Africa are falling short of the targeted 75% reduction in new cases and deaths by 2020, which is further compounded by substantial within-country variability. These estimates will help decision makers and programme implementers expand access to ART and better target health resources to higher burden subnational areas. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license