Browsing by Author "V. Kamalvanshi"

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Assessing the impact of national food security act (NFSA) at household level in Varanasi District of Uttar Pradesh, India
(EM International, 2017) Mukesh Kumar Maurya; P.S. Badal; V. Kamalvanshi; Pradeep Joliya
The purpose of this study was to assess the status of household food security of poor households belonging to the Below Poverty Line (BPL) and Antyodaya Anna Yojana (AAY) in Varanasi district of Uttar Pradesh. The data were collected from 300 individuals from 50 households located in 2 villages through simple random sampling. The Aggregate Household Food Security Index (AHFSI) developed by FAO was used to evaluate the household food security situation. The value of the AHFSI ranges from "zero" (i.e. total famine) to "100" (i.e. risk free food security). Between 75 and 85 is categorized as sufficient level of food security. The results revealed that the value of AHFSI was 79.04, which is between 75 to 85 cateogoryand shows that there is sufficient level of food security in our target area. Copyright © EM International.
Economic analysis of marketing margin of milk and milk products - A study of Jaipur Dairy Cooperative
(Agri Bio Research Publishers, 2014) Shoji Lal Bairwa; Rakesh Singh; S. Kushwaha; V. Kamalvanshi; Lokesh Kumar Meena
A study was conducted on marketing of milk and milk products at Jaipur Dairy Cooperative, Jaipur (Rajasthan) during the financial year 2009-10. An effort was made for economic analysis of marketing margins earned by different market functionaries in marketing of milk and milk products. The study was based on secondary data of Jaipur Dairy Cooperatives which were collected from the monthly progress reports, audit reports and other related records of Rajasthan Cooperative Dairy Federation, Jaipur dairy plant as well as from the milk collection/chilling centres. In order to study the marketing margin, the data were collected on different aspects viz., chilling charges, transportation cost and commission to milk collection cooperative societies, water and electricity charges, repairs and maintenance, depreciation and interest on capital expenditure from Jaipur Dairy Plant. The data were arranged in simple tabular form, and then simple averages and percentages were computed. It was found that product-wise highest margin was received from ghee (29.26%) and agencies-wise highest margin was also received from ghee which formed 76% of the total margins earned by distributors. These units margins of milk and milk products are important for policy and decision makers while making policies and developmental programmes related to dairy sector for boosting the economy.
Economics of Oil Seed Exports in India: An Application of Holt-Forecasts
(AESSRA, 2022) T. Kumareswaran; V. Kamalvanshi; P.S. Badal; M. Manjubala; Avdhesh Sharma
This article intended to examine the export performance of oil seed crops in India from 1987 to 2019 using the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), Cuddy-Della Valle instability index, as well as forecast export quantity and value to 2025. The analysis focuses mainly on two major oil seed crops: groundnut and soyabean. The research of oil seed crop export growth trends over time revealed a positive growth rate for both export quantity and export unit value. The potential for Indian oil seed crop in the world market during the post-liberalization period were shown by the strong growth rates of soyabean goods combined with high export instability indices. When compared to soyabean, the annual growth rate of groundnut was the lowest, with instability showing a wide range across the entire period. Holt models were created in this paper to estimate oil seed export quantity and prices, with the top models chosen by comparing Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE). Further, groundnut export quantity and price forecasts showed positive development throughout the forecast period, whereas, soyabean export price forecasts showed a 0.01 percent increase from 2021 to 2025. To improve the worldwide performance of the Indian oil seed industry, the government should make appropriate amendments to oil seed export policies and domestic supportive measures, as well as adopt appropriate value adds and market diversification strategies. © 2022 Economic Affairs (New Delhi). All rights reserved.
Empowering farmers through future price information: A case study of price forecasting of brinjal in Eastern Uttar Pradesh
(The Society of Economics and Development, 2020) Pramod Kumar; P.S. Badal; R.K. Paul; G.K. Jha; P. Venkatesh; I.T. Kingsly; V. Kamalvanshi; M. Balasubramanian; P. Anbukkani
The study developed ARIMA forecasting model for brinjal prices for the markets of Eastern Uttar Pradesh. It was observed that the ARIMA (1,0,1) with non-zero mean was suitable for both Lucknow and Allahabad markets. ARIMA (2,0,0) (0,1,0) (52), ARIMA (1,1,0) (1,1,0) (52), ARIMA (1,1,2), ARIMA (2,0,0) (1,0,0) (52), ARIMA (3,1,1) were suitable for Delhi, Varanasi, Kolkata, Gorakhpur, and Kanpur markets, respectively, based on lowest AIC values. The farmers and other supply chain actors of Eastern Uttar Pradesh could plan their production and marketing activities looking into the price scenario projected for major markets in the study. The highest price of brinjal was likely to prevail in the Kolkata market. To exploit distant markets, the farmers need to organize themselves into groups to exploit economies of scale. © 2020 The Society of Economics and Development, except certain content provided by third parties.
Forecasting Potato Prices: Application of ARIMA Model
(AESSRA, 2022) Prakash Singh Badal; V. Kamalvanshi; Abha Goyal; Pramod Kumar; Biswajit Mondal
Price fluctuations in potatoes (Solanum tuberosum L.) concern consumers, farmers, and policymakers, and its accurate price prediction is important for all the stakeholders. In India, out of a total of 5.34 million ha of land under vegetables, potato occupies nearly 20.8 per cent of area. India produces 12.3 per cent of world potato production (around 45.34 million tons) and is next only to China. The major potato-producing states are highly concentrated in the Indo-gangetic plains of the country. Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal and Bihar account for 32.4, 26.9 and 14.6 per cent of national production of potato. The present study was designed to forecast the prices of potato in these three major potato-producing states of the country. Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average forecasting models - ARIMA (1,0,1) for Varanasi market, ARIMA (2,0,1) for Kolkata market, and the ARIMA (3,0,1) for Patna market were applied. The performance of the ARIMA models produced reliable forecast of prices of potatoes for all three major producing states. © 2022 AESSRA. All Rights Reserved.
Optimization of resources use on irrigated and rain-fed farms of eastern Uttar Pradesh: Sen’s multi-objective programming (MOP) method
(DAV College, 2019) Mukesh Kumar Maurya; V. Kamalvanshi; S. Kushwaha; C. Sen
This paper investigates the utilization of available resources on irrigated rain-fed farms of Eastern Uttar Pradesh. Varanasi and Sonbhadra districts were purposively selected because these districts are having differences with respect to irrigated and rain-fed farming systems, respectively. The required data were collected from 200 randomly selected farmers for the year 2016-17. The alternative resource use plans have been formulated for increasing income and employment and decreasing fertilizer use on both irrigated and rain-fed farms. All the three plans have generated conflicting results in achieving the desired income, employment and fertilizer use. Hence, the Sen’s Multi-Objective Programming has been used to achieve all the objectives simultaneously. The optimized plan has increased income by 11.83 percent, employment by 7.43 with decreased fertilizer use by 11.83 over existing farming plan on irrigated farms. On the rain-fed farms, the income and employment increased by 8.90 percent and 7.29 percent respectively with reduced fertilizer use by 8.59 percent over existing farm plan. © 2019 DAV College. All rights reserved.
Role of social capital in rural livelihood strategies in Ranchi district of Jharkhand
(Agri Bio Research Publishers, 2014) Kerobim Lakra; P.S. Badal; Shoji Lal Bairwa; S. Kushwaha; V. Kamalvanshi
The concept of social capital has added a new dimension to the dialogue on development. Further, the role and interpretation of social capital is formalized drawing on a micro level study in Ranchi district of Jharkhand. Development interventions have a major concern a linking of development with livelihoods emerging from protection and sustainable management of the natural resource base of the region. The livelihood strategies which individuals adopt reflect their choices in building on their assets : gaining more from a livelihood through increased agricultural production or by cultivating more land. Results showed that 95% respondents had supply of electricity and 27% respondents had no safe drinking water. Only 18% respondents had sanitation facility. There were good conditions in availability of minimum employment (72.5%) and access to institutional credit (73%). Seventy-nine per cent respondents felt safe in the locality even after area was affected by Naxals. Most of the households had ownership of land resources for cultivation (95%) but 5% households were landless.
Trade Competitiveness and Trend Pattern of Plantation Crop Exports in India
(AESSRA, 2022) T. Kumareswaran; V. Kamalvanshi; P.S. Badal
The foremost focus of this study is to scan the export performance of plantation sector in India for the years 1987-2019 using the CGAR, Cuddy-Della Valle instability index and index number. The analysis mainly draws conclusion on the selected major plantation crop tea, coffee, and cocoa. The analysis of growth trends of plantation crop exports during the overall period registered positive growth rate for export quantity and export unit value. The high growth rates of cocoa products together with high instability indices in the export revealed the prospects for Indian plantation sector in the global market during the post liberalization period. Incase of tea and coffee showed annual growth rate at minimum and instability indicating low to medium range during the overall period. While the trend analysis with the help of index number showed fluctuations in export quantity and export value throughout the study period which may be due to changing policies and its execution at different periods of time. The result indicated that India must give much effort to increase the export share of plantation crop and other value-added plantation products like green tea, toasted coffee grain, cocoa paste etc. to augment the foreign earnings. © 2022 Economic Affairs (New Delhi). All rights reserved.
Women participation in production and marketing of agricultural products
(Agri Bio Research Publishers, 2015) Shoji Lal Bairwa; V. Kamalvanshi; Udhav Prasad Singh; Maina Kumari
Women participation in agricultural sector is very crucial because women is major player in production, processing and distribution of milk, egg, fish, fruit, vegetable, flower and forest products across the globe. The present study mainly focuses on the role, importance and extent of women participation in production and marketing of farm products. The study also highlighted the major areas of women participation including crop production, fisheries farming, flower markets, agro-processing, value addition, agro-forestry products, marketing of poultry, dairy and other agricultural products in local and informal markets. The present study also discusses major constraints faced by women in production and marketing of farm products. Major constraints are lack of credit, technical skills, specialized training, less access of productive resources, gender bias, absence in decision making process, myths, prejudice against women and burden of multiple role at home and farm. In fact, women contribute more than men in production and marketing of agricultural products along with different constraints across the globe. Thus, there is a need to think on whole gamut of issues related to women participation in agricultural production and marketing. The government should provide credit facility, subsidies, incentives, specialized training and capacity building training to women for development of farming sector in the country.