Machine learning approach for detection of land subsidence induced by underground coal fire using multi-sensor satellite data

Abstract

High-rank coal reserves in Jharia Coalfield (JCF, India), are invariably associated with underground coal fires and land subsidence. This study explores multi-sensor time series satellite data (Landsat 8 OLI and Sentinel-1) through machine learning (ML) to determine the regional ground deformation accompanying coal fires and their contextual relationship. The results show that the highest degree of subsidence is closely associated with the active mine benches with overburden dumps. The relationship between the coal fire and land subsidence parameters is considered as a binary classification problem, explored by calculating the probability of subsidence with a desirable categorical outcome through different ML models. The accuracy of the models is validated using performance metrics that shows that the Random Forest (RF) metrics predict the probability of deformation locations in response to the volume reduction of the burning coal fire and vertical compression due to Overburden Dump (OBD) near active mine benches. The estimated displacement trends have been used to forecast the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method, estimated using Line-of-Sight (LOS) displacement values vary around the best fit within the 95% confidence limits. The trend shows ∼15–25% increase in subsidence compared to the cumulative subsidence. © 2024 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.