Publication:
Assessment of climate change of different meteorological state variables during Indian summer monsoon season

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dc.contributor.authorBhatla, R.
dc.contributor.authorMaurya, Archana
dc.contributor.authorSinha, Palash
dc.contributor.authorVerma, Shruti
dc.contributor.authorPant, Manas
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-27T09:59:14Z
dc.date.available2025-01-27T09:59:14Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.description.abstractLong-term assessment of basic meteorological field variability is an important factor that influences the Indian summer monsoon and consequently affects the socio-economic aspects of India. In this study, the spatial and temporal variation of meteorological parameters during summer monsoon season using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis datasets for the period of 70�years (1948�2017) has been analyzed in climatology, early-late phase and multidecadal epochs over India and its regions. Statistical techniques such as the standardized anomaly index of surface temperature, rainfall and zonal and meridional wind (at 850 and 200�hPa) and temporal analysis of Mann�Kendall trend test over six selected regions, viz., North India (NI), Central India (CI), Southern India (SI), Arabian Sea (AS), Bay of Bengal (BoB) and Equatorial Indian Ocean (EIO) reveal higher variability during summer monsoon season from 1948 to 2017. The significant spatial changes in the value of standard deviation and coefficient of variation confirm the early-late phase and multidecadal modulation of the seasonal variability of selected climatic parameters. The results indicate that the escalation in the surface temperature multidecadal variability and trend has dominating characteristics over NI, CI and SI regions at an alarming range (0.5�1.0�C). The major hotspots of increasing early-late phase and multidecadal variability and average precipitation have been found over BoB, EIO and SI (~1�3.5 mm/day). The decreasing changes in the mean rainfall pattern and associated variability is strongly linked with increasing surface warming and significant reduction in the strength of surface zonal wind over BoB, IO, SI and CI region which cause the weakening of important atmospheric circulations such as the role of Somali jet and strong low-level jet (LLJ) during Indian summer monsoon season. Also, the meridional wind at the surface and upper level has shown significant enhancement over AS and EIO. The recent decadal anomaly (2008�2017) is really a matter of concern as precipitation and wind circulation anomaly at 850 and 200�hPa have shown decreasing trends over all the regions. In recent years, the variation in meteorological parameters and distribution are asymmetrical during summer monsoon season in changing climate. � 2022, Indian Academy of Sciences.
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-022-01878-1
dc.identifier.issn23474327
dc.identifier.urihttps://dl.bhu.ac.in/ir/handle/123456789/13635
dc.publisherSpringer
dc.subjectMann�Kendall test
dc.subjectMeteorological parameters
dc.subjectmonsoon variability
dc.subjectNCEP/NCAR
dc.titleAssessment of climate change of different meteorological state variables during Indian summer monsoon season
dc.typeArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
journal.titleJournal of Earth System Science
journalvolume.identifier.volume131

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